Thursday Night Football odds, NFL prediction, spread: Broncos vs. Saints picks from Denver expert at 21-6

The Denver Broncos (3-3) and New Orleans Saints (2-4) meet on Thursday night to open the NFL’s Week 7 schedule. The Broncos’ three-game winning streak ended last Sunday with a 23-16 loss to the Chargers. The Saints have now lost four games in a row after starting the season 0-2. In Week 6, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers dominated New Orleans 51-27. Quarterback Derek Carr (oblique) is expected to be out for the Saints, while receivers Chris Olave (concussion) and Rashid Shaheed (concussion) will be sidelined. Taysom Hill is also inactive for the Saints due to a rib injury.

Kickoff at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Denver is the 2.5-point favorite in the current Broncos vs. Saints odds, while the over/under for total points is 37. The Broncos are -146 moneyline favorites while the Saints are +123 underdogs. Before you make your Saints vs. Broncos decision, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine expert Matt Severance, who is well-versed in Denver picks.

Severance is a well-connected writer and high volume handicapper who has been in the industry since 2005. Last season, he posted a 121-93-2 record and earned $589 on his NFL picks. Additionally, Severance has a record of 21-6 (+1371) in his last 27 Broncos picks. Anyone who has followed his betting tips is way up there.

Now focused on Broncos vs. Saints, Severance just revealed his coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here you can find several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Saints vs. Broncos.

• Spread Broncos vs. Saints: Denver -2.5
• Broncos vs. Saints over/under: 37 points
• Moneyline Broncos vs. Saints: New Orleans +123, Denver -146
• DEN: Broncos are 4-2 against the spread
• NO: New Orleans is 3-3 ATS this season
• Broncos vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Saints can cover

Running back Alvin Kamara is one of the NFL’s most dynamic playmakers. Kamara has reliable hands as a pass catcher and uses his vision to find the open scoring area. He ranks fourth in the NFL in runs (104), seventh in rushing yards (428) and second in rushing touchdowns (6).

The 29-year-old also has 28 balls (36 targets) for 238 yards and a score. Kamara has already played four games with more than 100 scrimmage yards this season. Find out who you can support at SportsLine.

Why the Broncos can cover

The Broncos have one of the best defensive units in the league. Denver ranks fourth in the league in total defense (284.3) and point defense (16), as well as fifth in pass defense (170.2). Linebacker Jonathon Cooper has the relentlessness to track down quarterbacks. The Ohio State product has 25 total tackles with a team-best 4.5 sacks and four TFLs.

Defensive player Zach Allen is disciplined and has a quick first step. Allen has a team-high 29 stops, with 9 TFLs and 3.5 sacks. Cornerback Riley Moss has played at a high level in the secondary. Moss plays the position technically sound and is very active in run support. The Iowa product ranks second on the team in total tackles (39) with five pass breakups and one interception. Find out who you can support at SportsLine.

How to pick Broncos vs. Saints

Severance has analyzed Broncos vs. Saints from every possible angle, and while we can tell you he’s under the total, he’s also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping over one side of the range. Find out what it is and which team you should support at SportsLine.

So who will win the Broncos vs. Saints on Thursday Night Football and what crucial X-factor will ensure one side of the spread gets hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Broncos vs. Saints is further down, all from the expert who is 21-6 in picks with Denver, and find out.