Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech score prediction by an expert football model

After its fourth straight win, No. 12 Notre Dame looks to keep its playoff hopes alive as it heads into its first road game in more than a month against Georgia Tech in Week 8 of college football. Let’s check the latest predictions for the game using an expert model that picks winners and projects results.

Notre Dame is 2-0 against ACC teams this season, overtaking Louisville and Stanford, is 5-1 on the year and has no margin for error in the College Football Playoff with its loss to Northern Illinois still over depends on the team’s postseason resume.

Georgia Tech has won two straight games, against Duke and North Carolina, and is 3-2 in ACC play with losses to Louisville and Syracuse and is looking at a tougher second half of the season with dates against Miami and Georgia remaining.

What does the analysis suggest for this match in Atlanta?

To do that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to preview how Notre Dame and Georgia Tech will fare in this Week 8 college football game.

As expected, the models side with the Fighting Irish against the Yellow Jackets.

SP+ predicts Notre Dame will defeat Georgia Tech by a projected score of 33-22 and win the game by an expected margin of 10.5 points.

The model gives the Irish a strong 74 percent chance of winning overall.

SP+ is a “pace- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustained and predictable aspects of football.”

How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 180-167-3 against the spread with a win rate of 51.9, after being 26-26 (50%) last weekend.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook data, Notre Dame is a 12-point favorite against Georgia Tech.

FanDuel set the total score for the game at 48.5 points.

And it lists the moneyline odds to win outright for Notre Dame at -450 and for Georgia Tech at +360.

If you use this prediction to bet on the game, you should…

A multitude of bettors are expecting the Yellow Jackets to take this game against the Fighting Irish, according to the latest spread consensus picks.

60 percent of bets assume Georgia Tech will either win the game in an upset or keep the game within the 12-point line.

The other 40 percent of bets assume Notre Dame will win the game and cover the spread.

Other analytical models also heavily favor the Fighting Irish over the Yellow Jackets this week.

This includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to determine winners.

Notre Dame is projected to win the game outright in most 83.2 percent of recent computer simulations of the match.

That leaves Georgia Tech as the expected winner in the remaining 16.8 percent of Sims.

According to the model’s latest projection, Notre Dame is expected to perform 14.6 points better than Georgia Tech on the same field.

Notre Dame has a 57.5 percent chance of qualifying for the College Football Playoff and will win 10 games this season, according to FPI data.

This model gives Georgia Tech an overall win projection of 6.8 games and a 0.7 percent chance of making the 12-team playoffs.

When: Sat., Oct. 19
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ESPN Network

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The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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