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Duke vs. Florida State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 18, 2024

By Hudson Brooklyn
Duke vs. Florida State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 18, 2024

Two ACC teams meet when the Duke Blue Devils (5-1) face the Florida State Seminoles (1-5) on Friday, October 18, 2024, at Brooks Field in Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils have a 3 point lead. The over/under in the competition is set at 42.5.

Duke vs. Florida State Favorite, Moneyline, Overall

  • Distribution favorite: Blue Devils (-3)
  • Money line: Blue Devils (-155), Seminoles (+130)
  • In total: 42.5 points

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  • When: Friday, October 18, 2024, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Wilmington, North Carolina
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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  • Virginia Tech vs Boston College Predictions

    • Duke 2024 stats and rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 239.5 (1437) 60
    Rush yards 112.8 (677) 111
    Points scored 26.3 (158) 87
    Pass yards against it 158.0 (948) 10
    Rush yards against 151.2 (907) 78
    Points allowed 17.5 (105) 23

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    Duke 2024 betting information

  • The Blue Devils have a record of 4-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • Duke has a 1-1 record against teams where they have been favored by 3 or more points in games this season.
  • This season, Blue Devils games have exceeded the point total twice.
  • The average point total the Blue Devils have scored in matches this season is 6.4 points more than this game’s point total.
  • The Blue Devils are a perfect 3-0 record against the team in their last three games and have a consecutive 2-1 record in those meetings.
  • Florida State and its opponents combined to hit the over in one of those games.
  • The Seminoles have averaged 45.8 total points scored in their last three games, 3.3 points more than in this matchup.

    • Duke Home/Away Split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 46.8 46.4 47.4
    Implied overall average 28.3 27.4 29.6
    ATS data set 7-5-0 5-2-0 2-3-0
    Over/under record 7-5-0 3-4-0 4-1-0
    Moneyline favorite record 5-1 4:0 1-1
    Moneyline underdog record 2-4 2-1 0-3

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    Duke’s Offense vs. Florida State’s Defense (2024)

  • Florida State allows opponents to score on 75.0% of their red zone appearances (26th in college football). Duke’s offense has an 85.7% red zone percentage (58th).
  • Duke averages 3.5 yards per carry (104th in college football), compared to Florida State’s 4.4 yards per attempt (85th in the FBS).

    • Florida State 2024 Stats and Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 215.5 (1293) 83
    Rush yards 58.0 (348) 134
    Points scored 14.8 (89) 131
    Pass yards against it 219.3 (1316) 74
    Rush yards against 182.3 (1094) 108
    Points allowed 25.3 (152) 79

    Florida State 2024 betting information

  • The Seminoles have recorded two wins against the spread this year.
  • Duke is 1-1 against the spread when leading by 3 or more points this season.
  • The score was exceeded in one of the Seminoles’ six games.
  • The average point total in Blue Devils games this year is 6.4 points more than the over/under of 42.5 in this game.
  • The Blue Devils have covered the lead in their last three meetings, posting a 2-1 record in those games.
  • Florida State and its opponents have reached the over once in these games.
  • The Seminoles’ last three games ended with an average of 45.8 points scored. That’s 3.3 points more than the upper/lower limit for this competition.

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    Florida State Home/Away Split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 49.8 49.5 50.5
    Implied overall average 30.0 30.3 29.5
    ATS data set 2-4-0 2-2-0 0-2-0
    Over/under record 1-5-0 0-4-0 1-1-0
    Moneyline favorite record 1-3 1-2 0-1
    Moneyline underdog record 0-2 0-1 0-1

    Florida State’s Offense vs. Duke’s Defense (2024)

  • The Seminoles are averaging 0.2 points per game (129th in the FBS), while the Blue Devils are allowing 0.2 per game (third in college football).
  • Duke’s opponents have posted a 29.3% conversion rate on third downs (10th in the FBS), compared to a 28.9% third-down conversion rate for Florida State on offense (127th in college). Football).
  • The Blue Devils defense allows 4.8 yards per pass attempt (third in the FBS). The Seminoles’ offense averages 6.4 yards per pass (115th in college football).
  • Florida State’s offense ranks 131st in the FBS at 14.8 points per game. Duke allows 17.5 per game (23rd in college football).

    • Duke vs Florida State Prediction and Picks

    Our Duke vs. Florida State prediction has the Blue Devils (-155 on the money line) as the winner. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we expect the over to be 42.5 points.

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