Anthony Johnson, DJ Giddens prepares to erupt on the floor

The Kansas State Wildcats and West Virginia Mountaineers have only been playing since 2012, but the series is based on series: K-State 4-0, WVU 5-0 and K-State 2-0.

Get ready for Saturday night’s thriller with the latest odds, spread analysis and our Kansas State vs. West Virginia prediction.

Kansas State vs. West Virginia betting preview

All Kansas State vs. West Virginia Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are as of Monday, October 14, 2024. CFN spreads are from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.

• CFN FPM spread
  Select them
• Spread
  Kansas State -3
• Money line
  Kansas State -155, West Virginia +130
• Over/Under
  54.5 points
• Playtime
  7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 19th
• Location
  Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, W.Va.
• Predicted weather at Kick
  62 degrees, 3 mph wind, sunny
• Here’s how to watch
  fox
  

The spread and total haven’t moved an inch since the open, but an influx of money later in the week could change that quickly.

MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator

Kansas State is 1-4 in its last five road games, and Morgantown is not an easy place to play.

As far as the over/under goes, the latter has scored in eight of the last 11 meetings between Kansas State and West Virginia.

Kansas State’s probability of winning

The FPM considers this game a pick ’em, with both teams having a 50% chance of winning. However, if the Wildcats leave Week 8 victorious, their path to the Big 12 title won’t be too difficult, as the win probability is over 70% by the time they reach the season finale against undefeated Iowa State.

• against Kansas: 81.1%
• in Houston: 83.0%
• vs. Arizona State: 70.3%
• against Cincinnati: 79.6%
• at Iowa State: 36.9%

West Virginia’s probability of winning

Meanwhile, West Virginia’s road to the dance is one loss away from falling apart, and with Arizona and Texas Tech still on the schedule, the program will likely be playing for a bowl game this season.

• against Arizona: 41.1%
• against Cincinnati: 63.1%
• at Baylor: 75.3%
• at UCF: 74.2%
• vs Texas Tech: 47.2%

Kansas State vs. West Virginia Prediction

While West Virginia is 3-3 this season, all three losses have come against undefeated ranked opponents at Penn State, Pittsburgh and just last week at Iowa State.

Normally this wouldn’t be taken as a massive negative, but it paints a picture of head coach Neal Brown, who is now 3-16 against ranked opponents with the Mountaineers, and there’s another added to it on Saturday.

Kansas State’s only loss came to undefeated BYU, which has knocked both Arizona and Oklahoma State out of the AP Top 25 this season.

Neither QB has been particularly impressive through the air, but K-State’s Avery Johnson is far superior to WVU’s Garrett Greene, who has completed just 57% of his passes with eight TDs and six INTs.

Nevertheless, both crimes actually resulted in similar results:

• Kansas State: 430.8 YPG and 31.3 PPG
• West Virginia: 425.3 YPG and 30.2 PPG

MORE: Simulate the college football season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor

Except Johnson vs. Greene, the Wildcats have another one considerably Advantage in this one: RB DJ Giddens. After a 25-carry, 182-yard game against Colorado, expect Giddens to run over the entire Mountaineers’ defense.

On the other hand, while West Virginia’s ground game is impressive in its own right, K-State allows the second-fewest rushing yards in the country (71.7). Take the Wildcats to win and cover in Week 8.

Forecast: Kansas State 38, West Virginia 16

The College Football Network brings you the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC and every Group of Five conference, as well as the FBS Independent schedule.