Yankees vs. Guardians ALCS Game 1: Prediction, odds and top picks for October 14th

The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of the ALCS on Monday, October 14 at Yankees Stadium.

For the fourth time in seven years, the Yankees and Guardians will face off in the postseason. The Bronx Bombers are back in the ALCS for the first time since 2022.

The Yankees needed just four games to win against the Royals, while the Guardians needed a stressful fifth game to defeat the Tigers at home.

For this first game of the ALCS, the Yankees are the home favorite (-165).

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: Odds and Betting Lines

• favorite: Yankees (-165)
• outsider: Guardian (+140)
• Over/Under: 7.5

Yankees vs. Guardians: Live streaming info and game details

• Matchday: Monday, October 14, 2024
• Playtime: 7:38 p.m. ET
• stadium: Yankees Stadium, New York
• TV channels: TBS/TruTV/Max
• Live stream: Available on Fubo

Also Read: VIDEO: Kike Hernandez Says, Uncensored, ‘We Don’t Give a Shit’ on Live TV After Leading the Dodgers to the NLCS

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction

• Outcome prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 4
• Overall forecast: Over 7.5 runs
• Probabilities of winning: Yankees 62.2%, Guardians 37.8%

The Yankees enter Game 1 as favorites with a 57.5% win rate this season, rising to 63.6% at similar odds.

Aaron Judge leads the way with 58 home runs and 144 RBIs, making him a major offensive threat. Additionally, the Yankees bullpen has shown consistency, but they are also facing a Guardians team with a solid bullpen.

The Guardians are known for their strong pitching staff.

Cleveland has the third-best ERA (3.61) in the MLB. José Ramírez leads the Guardians with 39 home runs and 118 RBIs, but overall the Guardians have struggled offensively, averaging 3.6 runs per game in recent meetings. The durability of their bullpen could be an advantage if they keep him around.

The Yankees are the favorites and given their home field advantage and slight offensive consistency, they are a safer bet.

Photo credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images