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Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 12th

Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 12th

Data script

It all comes down to Game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday when the Detroit Tigers take on the Cleveland Guardians. The teams will compete for a spot in the ALCS when play begins at 4:38 p.m. ET on Max, live from Progressive Field. The oddsmakers have the Tigers as -124 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Guardians a moneyline odds of +104. Detroit is a 1.5 run favorite (at +156 odds). The total is 6 runs for this game.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, covering run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

David Fry hits a two-run home run to help the Guardians beat the Tigers 5-4 in the ALDS

David Fry hit a two-run home run to help the Cleveland Guardians beat the Detroit Tigers 5-4 in Game 4 of the ALDS.

Information and odds for the game Tigers vs. Guardians

  • When: Saturday, October 12, 2024, 4:38 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to watch on TV: Max
favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline In total Above-overall odds Below overall odds running line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
tiger -124 +104 6 -105 -115 -1.5 +156 -187

Tigers vs Guardians prediction

  • Result prediction: Guardian 5, Tiger 3
  • Overall prediction: Over 6 runs
  • Probabilities of winning: Tiger 57%, Guardian 43%

Tigers vs Guardians betting insights

  • The Tigers have been the favorite in 68 games this season and won 40 (58.8%) of those games.
  • This season, Detroit has won 33 of its 51 games, or 64.7%, when it had a lead of at least -124 on the money line.
  • At the money line set for this match, bookmakers believe the Tigers have a 55.4% chance of winning.
  • The Guardians have won 27 times in the 59 contests in which they have been considered underdogs this season.
  • This year, Cleveland has won 13 of 40 games when ranked +104 or worse on the money line.
  • The Guardians have an implied win probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by the oddsmakers for this match.

Detroit Tigers

DET

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

Tigers current betting performance

  • The Tigers have been the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, going 3-2 in those meetings.
  • In their last 10 meetings (all 10 had a set total), the Tigers and their opponents have combined to score three times.
  • The Tigers are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games against the team.

Current Tigers stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 6-4
Runs per game 3.1
Human Resources 4
EPOCH 3.13
K/9 7.3

Insights into the Tigers players

  • Riley Greene not only leads the Tigers with his .262 batting average, he is also the team’s all-time leader with 24 home runs and 74 RBI.
  • Greene ranks 42nd in home runs and 61st in RBI among all batters in the MLB.
  • Greene is on a two-game hitting streak in this match. In his last five appearances, he hit .235 with three walks and one RBI.
  • Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Vierling is 117th in home runs in the MLB and 126th in RBI.
  • Colt Keith has 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks while batting .260.
  • Kerry Carpenter is hitting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.

Find out more about this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians current betting performance

  • In the last 10 games, the Guardians have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Guardians and their opponents are 3-7-0 overall in their last 10 games.
  • The Guardians have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Current Guardians statistics

Stat Average/Total
Record 4-6
Runs per game 3.4
Human Resources 10
EPOCH 2.38
K/9 9.6

Insights into the Guardians players

  • Jose Ramirez hit a team-leading 39 home runs and drove in 118 runs.
  • Ramirez ranks fifth in home runs and third in RBI among all batters in the major leagues.
  • Josh Naylor has 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks while batting .243.
  • Naylor ranks 18th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the major leagues.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .292.
  • Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .252.

Spencer Torkelson hits an RBI double to seal the Tigers’ 3-0 win over the Guardians and take the series lead 2-1

Spencer Torkelson hits an RBI double to seal the Tigers' 3-0 win over the Guardians and take the series lead 2-1

Spencer Torkelson hit an RBI double to help the Detroit Tigers to a 3-0 victory over the Cleveland Guardians, taking a 2-1 lead.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Cleveland Guardians

Detroit Tigers


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