Prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy and Belgium

Two teams hoping for more respect in the top UEFA rankings meet in Rome when Italy hosts Belgium in the capital on Thursday.

Belgium’s ‘golden generation’ has come to an end with much hype and little return, so the Red Devils will be hoping to make good on all those unfulfilled promises with meaningful results. But it was only during the last international break that Kevin de Bruyne, who will be missing this time, criticized his team for their lack of performance after the defeat against France.

Italy, meanwhile, have shed a number of their own stars in favor of a patchwork team assembled by Luciano Spalletti.

Players like Gianluca Raspadori and Davide Frattesi scored in a convincing 3-1 win over France last time out, but still have a long way to go to regain the goodwill lost by missing two consecutive World Cup qualifications.

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Italy vs Belgium prediction, odds

• Moneyline Lean: Italy (-110)
• Result prediction: Italy – Belgium 3:1

Italy are playing at home and while they have suffered poor results in games against closer opponents such as Switzerland and Croatia, teams such as Belgium will not be able to keep up.

Belgium have had no chance against France (twice), Ukraine and even Slovakia in recent months, it’s hard to see them overtaking Italy enough to get a win.

Facts about the game Italy vs. Belgium

• Date: Thursday, October 10, 2024
• Kick-off time: 8:45 p.m. local time (2:45 p.m. ET / 11:45 a.m. PT)
• Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome, Italy)
• Referee: Espen Andreas Eskas (NOR)
• Last meeting: Italy – Belgium 2-1 (October 10, 2021 | UEFA Nations League)

Italy vs Belgium best bet

• Choose: Half with the most goals – 2H
• Opportunities: +100 (BetMGM)

Italy’s approach to international matches in recent months has been to get to half-time with the game intact and open the attack after the break. In the last five Italy games, eight of the twelve goals scored came after half-time.

Italy vs Belgium Prop Bet

• Choose: Davide Frattesi 2+ shots
• Opportunities: -120 (FanDuel)

Talk about a man in form, Davide Frattesi is on fire right now. He scored in both of Italy’s games during the September international break, taking six shots in those two games against Israel and France, and is averaging 1.5 shots per game in Serie A.

In addition, he scored a goal in Inter’s league game against Udinese at the end of September and was in great form in that game. An almost equal rate of two shots on goal seems to be a high value.