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Ball State vs. Kent State Prediction: Tips, Live Odds and Moneyline – October 12, 2024

By Hudson Brooklyn
Ball State vs. Kent State Prediction: Tips, Live Odds and Moneyline – October 12, 2024

The Ball State Cardinals (1-4) will face their MAC rival, the Kent State Golden Flashes (0-5) in a match on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at Dix Stadium. The Cardinals are the clear favorites here, the spread is 7 points. An over/under of 59.5 points was set for the game.

Ball State vs. Kent State Favorite, Moneyline, Overall

  • Distribution favorite: Cardinals (-7)
  • Money line: Cardinals (-238), Golden Lightnings (+195)
  • In total: 59.5 points

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    How to watch Ball State vs. Kent State

  • When: Saturday, October 12, 2024, 12:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Dix Stadium in Kent, Ohio
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+

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    • Ball State 2024 stats and rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 231.6 (1158) 69
    Rush yards 94.0 (470) 119
    Points scored 25.0 (125) 98
    Pass yards against it 301.4 (1507) 131
    Rush yards against 214.6 (1073) 121
    Points allowed 48.2 (241) 133

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    Ball State 2024 Betting Information

  • The Cardinals have won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover twice.
  • This season, the Cardinals’ games have exceeded the point total every time.
  • The average total points in the Cardinals’ games this year is 4.9 points fewer than the over/under of 59.5 in this matchup.
  • The Cardinals have closed the gap twice in their last three games, posting a record of 0-3 in those games.
  • In two of these three games, the overall final score exceeded the set total points.
  • The Golden Flashes’ last three games ended with an average of 55.7 points scored. That’s 3.8 points less than the upper/lower limit for this competition.

    • Ball State Home/Away Split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 54.6 54.3 54.8
    Implied overall average 35.2 30.5 38.3
    ATS data set 3-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0
    Over/under record 5-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0
    Moneyline favorite record 1:0 1:0 0-0
    Moneyline underdog record 0-3 0-1 0-2

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    Ball State’s Offense vs. Kent State’s Defense (2024)

  • The Cardinals convert 42.7% of their third downs (53rd in college football), while the Golden Flashes defense ranks 132nd in that category (50.0%).
  • Ball State averages 0.4 points per game (57th in the FBS), compared to the 0.7 points per game Kent State gives up (132nd in college football).
  • With an average of 231.6 yards per game, the Cardinals rank 69th in the FBS, while the Golden Flashes rank 129th in college football with 294.0 yards per game.
  • Ball State ranks 35th in the FBS in red zone offense (90.9%) and faces Kent State’s 94th red zone defense (89.7%).

    • Kent State 2024 stats and rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 160.8 (804) 123
    Rush yards 57.8 (289) 134
    Points scored 14.8 (74) 130
    Pass yards against it 294.0 (1470) 129
    Rush yards against 287.2 (1436) 134
    Points allowed 51.4 (257) 134

    Kent State 2024 betting information

  • The Golden Flashes have not won a game against the spread this season.
  • The Golden Flashes exceeded the point total in three of their five games.
  • The average point total in the Cardinals’ games this year is 4.9 points fewer than the point total of 59.5 in this matchup.
  • The Cardinals are 2-1 in their last three games overall and have a consecutive record of 0-3 in those meetings.
  • The combined final score of the last three Kent State games has exceeded the set point total twice.
  • The last three Golden Flashes games have averaged 55.7 total points, 3.8 points fewer than this matchup’s total.

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    Kent State Home/Away Split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 54.3 47.8 58.7
    Implied overall average 42.2 31.5 49.3
    ATS data set 0-5-0 0-2-0 0-3-0
    Over/under record 3-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0
    Moneyline favorite record 0-1 0-1 0-0
    Moneyline underdog record 0-2 0-1 0-1

    Kent State Offense vs. Ball State Defense (2024)

  • Kent State averages 0.3 points per game (101st in the FBS), compared to the 0.8 per game allowed by Ball State (134th in college football).
  • The Golden Flashes rank 134th in the FBS in red zone percentage (50.0%) and face the Cardinals’ 102nd red zone defense (90.5%).
  • Kent State ranks 104th in the FBS with 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Ball State is giving up 10.0 yards per pass (133rd in college football).

    • Ball State vs. Kent State Prediction and Picks

    Our Ball State vs. Kent State prediction has the Golden Flashes (+195 on the money line) as the winners. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we expect the over to be 59.5 points.

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