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Utah vs. Arizona State Prediction: Odds, Tips, Best Bets – October 11, 2024

By Hudson Brooklyn
Utah vs. Arizona State Prediction: Odds, Tips, Best Bets – October 11, 2024

In Big 12 play, the No. 16 seed Utah Utes (4-1) will face the Arizona State Sun Devils (4-1) at Mountain America Stadium on Friday, October 11, 2024. The Utes have a 6.5 point advantage. The over/under for the game is 46.

Utah vs. Arizona State Favorite, Moneyline, Overall

  • Distribution favorite: Utes (-6.5)
  • Money line: Utes (-245), Sun Devils (+200)
  • In total: 46 points

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  • When: Friday, October 11, 2024, 10:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo

    • Utah 2024 stats and rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 235.2 (1176) 65
    Rush yards 181.8 (909) 50
    Points scored 28.4 (142) 83
    Pass yards against it 173.0 (865) 26
    Rush yards against 107.2 (536) 30
    Points allowed 15.0 (75) 15

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    Utah 2024 betting information

  • The Utes have won one game against the spread this season.
  • Utah is winless against the spread (0-3) when playing as a favorite of at least 6.5 points.
  • Utes games have reached the over just once this season.
  • The average point total in Utes games this season is 3.8 points more than the point total of 46 in this matchup.
  • Arizona State and its opponents have combined to hit the over twice in those games.
  • The Sun Devils’ last three games ended with an average of 55.7 points scored. That’s 9.7 points more than the upper/lower limit for this competition.

    • Utah home/away split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 45.6 44.5 46.8
    Implied overall average 27.5 28.4 26.5
    ATS data set 6-6-1 4-3-0 2-3-1
    Over/under record 5-8-0 2-5-0 3-3-0
    Moneyline favorite record 7-1 6-0 1-1
    Moneyline underdog record 1-4 0-1 1-3

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    Utah’s offense vs. Arizona State’s defense (2024)

  • The Utes are averaging 4.6 yards per carry (68th in college football), compared to the 3.0 yards per attempt given up by the Sun Devils (13th in the FBS).
  • Arizona State allows points on 100.0% of its opponents’ red zone trips (124th in college football), while Utah’s offensive red zone percentage is 81.8% (87th).
  • The Utes convert on 32.9% of their third-down plays (114th in college football). The Sun Devils defense allows third-down conversions at a rate of 39.7% (82nd).
  • Arizona State allows 96.0 rushing yards per game (18th in the FBS). Utah’s rushing game ranks 50th in college football (181.8).

    • Arizona State 2024 Stats and Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 205.4 (1027) 90
    Rush yards 219.0 (1095) 17
    Points scored 33.2 (166) 50
    Pass yards against it 215.0 (1075) 71
    Rush yards against 96.0 (480) 18
    Points allowed 23.8 (119) 69

    Arizona State 2024 betting information

  • The Sun Devils have covered the spread four times in five games.
  • Utah is 0-3 against the standings when ahead by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • The Sun Devils have played five games this year and three of them have reached the over.
  • The average point total for Utes games this year is 3.8 points more than the over/under of 46 in this game.
  • The combined final score of Arizona State’s last three games has exceeded the set total twice.
  • The Sun Devils have averaged 55.7 total points scored in their last three games, 9.7 more points than in this matchup.

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    Arizona State Home/Away Split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 51.4 53.4 47.9
    Implied overall average 32.6 32.9 32.3
    ATS data set 5-5-1 2-4-1 3-1-0
    Over/under record 5-6-0 4-3-0 1-3-0
    Moneyline favorite record 0-0 0-0 0-0
    Moneyline underdog record 2-9 1-6 1-3

    Arizona State Offense vs. Utah Defense (2024)

  • The Sun Devils are averaging 205.4 yards per game (90th in the FBS). They will face the Utes’ defense, which is ranked 26th and allows 173.0 yards per game through the air.
  • Arizona State’s offense averages 7.6 yards per pass attempt (62nd in the FBS). Utah’s defense is giving up 5.7 yards per pass (11th in college football).
  • The Sun Devils have a third-down conversion rate of 44.3%, which is 44th in the FBS. The Utes are allowing third-down conversions on 24.7% of their opponents’ attempts (fourth).

    • Utah vs Arizona State Prediction and Picks

    Our prediction for Utah vs. Arizona State sees the Sun Devils (+200 on the money line) as the winner. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we favor the over by 46 points.

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