Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 9th

Data script

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the New York Mets in Game 4 of the NLDS on Wednesday at 5:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Citi Field. The Phillies are hoping to force a Game 5 as they enter the match with a 2-1 deficit in the series. The oddsmakers have the Phillies as -118 moneyline favorites while giving the underdog Mets a -102 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is favored on the running line (-1.5). The over/under for this contest is 7.5 runs (with odds of -102 to reach the over and odds of -118 to reach the under).

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

Phillies vs. Mets game information and odds

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024, 5:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

• Result prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
• Overall prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Probabilities of winning: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets betting insights

• The Phillies entered the game as the favorite 132 times this season and won 81, or 61.4%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a 76-46 record in games where oddsmakers have a lead of at least -118 on the money line.
• The implied probability of a Phillies win based on the money line is 54.1%.
• The Mets have won in 32, or 46.4%, of the 69 contests in which they were classified as underdogs this year.
• New York has a win-loss record of 27-32 this year when bookmakers favor them at -102 or worse.
• The Mets have an implied win probability of 50.5% according to the money line set by the oddsmakers for this matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-118

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-102

U 7.5

Current Phillies betting performance

• The Phillies have a 4-6 record in the 10 games they have been moneyline favorites in the last 10 meetings.
• In the last 10 matches (all 10 had a set total score), the Phillies and their opponents combined for eight hits.
• The Phillies’ record against the spread is 3-7-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Insights into Phillies players

• Bryce Harper is reaching base at a .373 clip while batting .525, both marks that put the Phillies ahead. The team also has a record-high 157 base knocks.
• Considering all MLB batters, Harper ranks 17th in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage and 12th in slugging.
• Harper has scored in four straight games. In his last five appearances, he hit .286 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber proved his mettle as he led his team with 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and tenth in RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
• Trea Turner’s .295 batting average is a team-best mark.
• Turner goes on a two-game streak with at least one hit. In his last five games, he hit .316 with one home run, two walks and two RBI.

Phillies team props

Find out more about this Phillies-Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Mets betting performance

• In eight games of the last ten meetings, the Mets had a record of 5-3 when the oddsmakers rated them as underdogs.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 overall in their last 10 games.
• The Mets have a record of 7-3-0 ATS in their last 10 games.

Current Mets stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 91 runs batted in while posting a team-best batting average of .273.
• Lindor’s home run total puts him 14th in the major leagues and 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso hit a team-best 34 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th overall in home runs and 29th in RBI this season.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .224 with 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets team props

Phillies vs. Mets Game 3: Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more post-game interviews | MLB on FOX

Check out the post-game interviews following Game 3 between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets with Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and more!

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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New York Mets

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