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Israel is not expected to attack Iran’s nuclear program and will focus on bases

Israel is not expected to attack Iran’s nuclear program and will focus on bases

Israel is not expected to attack Iran’s nuclear program, but rather to focus on various types of military bases and intelligence sites, The Jerusalem Post has learned following a report New York Times report the problem.

Confronted with that Just According to the report, sources did not dispute the key message of the report, which predicted that Israel’s retaliation against Iran for its massive attack on the Jewish state on October 1 would fall more into the middle range of attack scenarios.

Furthermore, the post is clear that Israel’s attack on Iran – which virtually all senior Israeli officials have publicly promised – will still be much more substantial than the smaller retaliatory strike on April 19, when Iran’s S-300 anti-aircraft missile system was damaged.

Despite the idea that the current context could present a once-in-50-year opportunity for an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities, sources indicated that an attack on Iran’s nuclear program would not necessarily be consistent with the “war goals,” according to The Security Cabinet.

For example, while the most stated goal of the war is to defeat Hamas, and there has also been much discussion recently about the safe return of northern Israeli residents to the Lebanese border, another formal goal is to avoid becoming involved in a regional war to become involved, especially not with Iran post understands.

A view of the Natanz uranium enrichment facility 250 km (155 miles) south of the Iranian capital Tehran, March 30, 2005. (Credit: REUTERS/Raheb Homavandi/File Photo)

Concern about a regional war with Iran

In other words, if one gets embroiled in a regional war with Iran – something the Security Cabinet, the IDF, the US and most of the West fear could happen if Israel attacks Iran’s nuclear facilities – Jerusalem could Significantly impairing and impairing our ability to end the conflict. We must fend off Hamas and achieve a safer situation with Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The post has learned that some senior Israeli officials view Iran’s second attack on October 1 (after the first attack on April 13 and 14) not as a sign of Tehran’s readiness for a broader war, but as an attempt to restore its own deterrence to bring balance out of Israel after the IDF succeeded in largely eliminating its two largest “insurance politicians”: Hezbollah and Hamas.

According to the Islamic Republic’s security doctrine before October 7, it could always use Hezbollah and Hamas as threats to control Israel should Jerusalem consider attacking its nuclear facilities or taking other measures to further Iran’s ambitions in the region thwart what went beyond what it was willing to tolerate.

Still, there is a perception that Israel would not take advantage of this opportunity when Iran directly attacked the country for the second time in six months, and this time with over 180 ballistic missiles, causing not insignificant damage to several Israeli air bases and a number of other sensitive ones Sites set up to finally attack Tehran’s nuclear program contradicts decades of statements by some senior Israeli leaders.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant have both said that one of the greatest goals of their lives and time in public service is to eliminate the Iranian nuclear threat hanging over Jerusalem’s neck.


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If these officials and other members of the defense establishment were to abandon such an option and instead target Iranian military and intelligence bases, such as potentially ballistic missile facilities, drone facilities and commanders who coordinated attacks on Israel, that would be a sign of an attack dramatic shift toward directly emphasizing Gaza and Lebanon as bigger security concerns than Iran.

Although war aims have made such statements since the beginning of the war, many observers believed that Iran’s attack on Israel on October 1, which followed the attack in April, had changed the playing field and forced Iran to be on the front line had been before October 7, 2023.

Many U.S. and Western officials have said that Israel cannot destroy Iran’s nuclear program on its own without U.S. help because Jerusalem does not have a mega-bunker bomb to destroy the Islamic Republic’s underground nuclear facilities at Fordow and Natanz.

But that Jerusalem Post has previously published that multiple smaller bombs could be dropped repeatedly in the same area to cause an underground collapse, conceptually not so dissimilar to how Israel killed Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah deep underground with 85 bombs on September 27 .

Fordow is much deeper underground than Nasrallah’s hideout, but such a collapse could greatly slow and damage Iran’s nuclear progress.

In addition, other important nuclear facilities, including Natanz, Isfahan, Arak and elsewhere, are located above ground.

Whether or not Iran would then redouble its efforts to produce a nuclear weapon is a matter of considerable debate, but there are more observers who favor the risk of such a scenario, given Iran’s actions to directly attack Israel twice and the to say goodbye to IAEA nuclear inspectors. “Blind” for three and a half years in many areas have portrayed him as a more risk-taking actor than was assumed before 2024.



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