close
close

Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 8th

Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 8th

Data script

Game 3 of the NLDS on Tuesday pits the Philadelphia Phillies against the New York Mets. The teams will look to break the deadlock in the 1-1 series when the action begins live from Citi Field at 5:08 p.m. ET on FOX. The favored Phillies have moneyline odds of -114 to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at -106. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5 run over/under is set for the contest.

Learn everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

Mets’ Mark Vientos hits his second home run of the game against Phillies, a two-run blast to tie the game

Mark Vientos of the New York Mets hit his second home run of the game against the Philadelphia Phillies, a two-run blast to tie the game.

Phillies vs. Mets game information and odds

  • When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024, 5:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to watch on TV: FOX
favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline In total Above-overall odds Below overall odds running line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -114 -106 7.5 -102 -118 -1.5 +158 -191

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

  • Result prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
  • Overall prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Probabilities of winning: Phillies 54%, Mets 46%

Phillies vs. Mets betting insights

  • The Phillies entered the game as the favorite 131 times this season and won 81, or 61.8%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a 78-48 record, which is a 61.9% winning percentage when favored by -114 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The sportsbook’s moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of the Phillies winning.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have won 31 times (45.6%) in those contests.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 28-33 this year when bookmakers favor them at -106 or worse.
  • The money line set for this matchup suggests the Mets have a 51.5% chance of winning.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

New York Mets

NYM

Current Phillies betting performance

  • The Phillies have played as moneyline favorites in nine of their last 10 games, going 4-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 games (all of which had set point totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to score a total of eight runs.
  • The Phillies are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 4-6
Runs per game 4.2
Human Resources 14
EPOCH 5.65
K/9 10.2

Insights into Phillies players

  • Bryce Harper is reaching base at a .373 clip while batting .525, both marks that put the Phillies ahead. The team also has a record-high 157 base knocks.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Harper’s home run total ranks 20th and his RBI total ranks 31st.
  • Harper has scored in three straight games. In his last five games, he hit .286 with a double, a home run, six walks and two RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Schwarber is eighth in home runs in baseball and 10th in RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Castellanos brings a two-game streak of at least one hit into this game. In his last five appearances, he hit .400 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Phillies team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Boehm 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+195)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+175)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+185)
Johan Rojas 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+400)
JT Realmuto 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+195)

Find out more about this Phillies-Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Mets betting performance

  • In seven games as underdogs in the last 10 meetings, the Mets have a record of 4-3.
  • The Mets and their opponents have had the advantage a total of six times in their last 10 games.
  • The Mets are 6-4-0 ATS in their last 10 games.

Current Mets stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 5-5
Runs per game 4.4
Human Resources 9
EPOCH 4.33
K/9 10.1

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor has posted a team-high batting average of .273 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a rating of 91.
  • Across the majors, Lindor ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso’s 34 home runs are the highest total for a team.
  • Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while batting .224.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jose Iglesias 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+235)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+170)
Francisco Alvarez 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+265)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (+195)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (+220)

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discuss the Phillies’ 7-6 win over the Mets in the NLDS

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discuss the Phillies' 7-6 win over the Mets in the NLDS

Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos discussed the Philadelphia Phillies’ 7-6 victory over the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NLDS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

Want great stories delivered straight to your inbox? Create your FOX Sports account or log in, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized daily newsletter.

CONSEQUENCES Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies


Related Post