US poll “Nostradamus” predicts whether “October surprise” will influence election: “Harris will…”

Known for his impressive track record of accurately predicting presidential winners since 1984, Lichtman is confident that unexpected developments in the coming weeks will not change the election result, which will be in Kamala Harris’s favor.

Could an “October surprise” influence the election result?

“One of the biggest myths in American politics is the October surprise,” Lichtman told CNN. “I never changed my prediction in response to a surprise in October,” he stressed. The host noted that pollster “Nostradamus” had never changed his forecast once in over 40 years.

Lichtman confidently declares that no last-minute twists will shake his prediction that Kamala Harris will triumph over Donald Trump and become America’s first female president.

Also Read: Elon Musk Dances at Butler Rally, Makes ‘Dark MAGA’ Joke: He Says ‘Prez Trump Must Win to…’

Typically, an October surprise refers to a shocking news event that breaks in the days leading up to the presidential election, which traditionally takes place in November. Past examples include the reopening of the federal investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails, the fallout from Donald Trump’s “Access Hollywood” video, and the controversy over Hunter Biden’s laptop. Such events often seem designed to influence the outcome of elections. Trump and Harris are currently engaged in a bitter election campaign, with razor-thin margins in key swing states making the competition even more intense.

The political historian, who uses a unique model based on 13 key factors to make his forecasts, added: “The keys have measured the overall picture of the incumbent government based on its strength and are not influenced by the events of the election campaign.”

Trump could “never return to the White House”

Trump made a triumphant return to Butler, Pennsylvania – where he was previously the target of an assassination attempt in July. However, historian Allan Lichtman had previously suggested that he might never return to the White House. In a video shared by The New York Times, Lichtman explained his predictions using his 13 “keys,” which are essentially true or false questions designed to check how well the current party is doing.

He previously said that eight of those keys are for Kamala Harris, while only three are for Donald Trump. Lichtman mentioned that the Biden team’s approach to foreign policy, particularly its involvement in the Gaza conflict, is still unclear and could change the election results and potentially flip some of those keys. But even if both key foreign policy factors ultimately turn out badly, Lichtman believes Trump would not have enough support to win back the White House.

Also read: Bill Maher spotted at LA hotel with Al Pacino’s 50-years-younger girlfriend Noor: report

On the other hand, the competition is extremely fierce in the crucial states, where no candidate has a lead of more than three percentage points in any of the seven states, according to a New York Times poll. Harris is currently polling at 49% nationally, while Trump is close behind at 47%.