Chiefs vs Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Tips – Oct 7

Data script

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) are the favorites to win against the New Orleans Saints (2-2) by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5). The Chiefs have won four games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 43 points.

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Chiefs vs Saints Prediction and Picks

• Choose ATS: Chieftains (-5.5)
  
• Select organizational unit: About (43)
  
• Forecast:
  Chiefs 26 – Saints 20
  

Here’s how to watch Kansas City vs. New Orleans

• Play date: Monday, October 7, 2024
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: ESPN
• Live boxscore: FOX Sports

Read more NFL predictions for this week

Last meetings between Chiefs and Saints

• In the last four duels, New Orleans has a 2-2 record against Kansas City.
• In the last four head-to-head meetings, New Orleans has scored 102 points against Kansas City and given up just 94 points.

Kansas City Betting Information

• So far this year, Kansas City has two wins against the spread.
• The Chiefs held an advantage by 5.5 or more points twice this season and failed to cover both times.
• In Kansas City’s games this year, the total was exceeded on two of four occasions (50%).
• The Chiefs have yet to lose as moneyline favorites, going 4-0 in those games this season.
• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs’ implied win probability is 72.6%.

Chiefs stats

Kansas City’s key players

attack

• Patrick Mahomes has 904 passing yards, six touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He has completed 68.6% of his passes, averaging 226.0 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt.
• He also rushed for 61 yards (fourth on the Chiefs) without scoring a touchdown on the ground while averaging 15.3 rushing yards per game.
• Xavier Worthy caught nine passes on 15 targets for a total of 154 yards and two touchdowns. Through four games, he is averaging 2.3 catches and 38.5 yards per game.
• Travis Kelce is still looking for his first touchdown catch, but has 15 catches for 158 yards on 21 targets and is averaging 3.8 catches and 39.5 yards per game.
• Samaje Perine ran for 39 yards with one touchdown (9.8 yards per game in four games).

defense

• On the defensive side, Chamarri Conner has 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack and one interception in 2024.
• Nick Bolton has 27 tackles and 4.0 TFL this season. His tackle total leads the Chiefs.
• Chris Jones has totaled nine tackles, 3.0 TFL and three sacks this year.
• So far this season, Jaylen Watson has 24 tackles. He is second on the Chiefs in tackles.

New Orleans betting information

• New Orleans is 3-1-0 against the spread this year.
• This year, the Saints won the ATS in their only game as underdogs by 5.5 points or more.
• Games in New Orleans have exceeded the total three times this year.
• The Saints have split the two games they played as underdogs this season.
• Based on the moneyline implied probability, the Saints have a 31.7% chance of winning this game.

Saints Statistics

New Orleans’ key players

attack

• Alvin Kamara has scored five touchdowns and totaled 362 rushing yards this year (90.5 per game and 4.5 per attempt).
• Kamara was also part of the passing game with 174 yards (43.5 per game) on 17 receptions (4.3 per game) and was targeted 20 times. He has a touchdown.
• Derek Carr has 824 passing yards, six touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and three interceptions. His completion rate is 72.0% and he averages 206.0 yards per game and 8.2 yards per attempt.
• Carr also has a rushing touchdown and 22 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints).
• In four games this season, Rashid Shaheed has 15 catches (3.8 receptions per game on 6.2 targets per game) for 252 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
• Chris Olave has 20 catches for 265 yards and a receiving touchdown. He is averaging 5.0 yards per game in four games and has been targeted 24 times.

defense

• In 2024, Alontae Taylor has recorded 3.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 24 tackles in four games. He ranks 10th in the NFL in sacks.
• Paulson Adebo has two interceptions to go with 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL and seven passes defended. He is third in the league in interceptions.
• Tyrann Mathieu intercepted two passes with 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL and three passes defended during the 2024 season. His interception total ranks third in the league.
• Carl Granderson’s stats include 15 tackles, 3.0 TFL and three sacks in four games

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Kansas City Chiefs

New Orleans Saints