Have the election chances changed compared to the VP debate? What polls and bettors say

After Tuesday night’s vice presidential debate, offshore bettors believe former President Donald Trump’s campaign has boosted his chances of winning the 2024 presidential race.

According to Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, Trump’s odds of winning were slightly lower than Vice President Harris’s as of 7 a.m. ET on Friday. Betfair Exchange, the UK’s largest peer-to-peer betting platform, said the odds had narrowly tipped towards a Trump victory after the debate. Betting on the presidential election is not legal in the USA

Perhaps bettors were waiting to see overnight reaction to the debate between Minnesota Governor Tim Walz and Ohio Senator JD Vance. The odds changed little during the debate, which commentators described as “cordial.” After that, the odds turned in Trump’s favor.

The winners (and losers): Results of the vice presidential debate between JD Vance and Tim Walz

How betting odds changed during the presidential and vice-presidential debates

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Susan Page on the clear winner of the vice presidential debate

USA TODAY’s Susan Page believes there was a clear winner in the vice president debates. She also thinks it probably doesn’t matter.

According to data from Polymarket, the chances of either candidate winning are now at their lowest since they swung in favor of Harris after the Sept. 10 presidential debate. Interestingly, Trump and Harris’ chances of winning peaked just before their respective state conventions.