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Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) vs. Arizona Wildcats (3-1)
October 5, 2024, 11:00 p.m. EDT
The line: Arizona Wildcats -6 / Texas Tech Red Raiders +6; Over/Under: 64
(Get the latest betting odds)

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Arizona Wildcats meet on Saturday in Week 6 of college football at Arizona Stadium. Here is an Arizona vs. Texas Tech prediction. This article features Tech picks between Arizona and Texas.

Texas Tech Red Raiders betting preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Arizona State and Cincinnati and play Baylor next. Texas Tech has lost 5 of its last 7 road games. Behren Morton completed 63.5 percent of his passes for 1,426 yards, 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Josh Kelly and Coy Eakin have combined for 794 yards and 8 touchdowns, while Caleb Douglas has 16 receptions.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders’ ground game averages 181 yards per game, and Tahj Brooks leads the way with 551 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 34.4 points and 463.2 yards per game. Ben Roberts leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 40 tackles, Isaac Smith has 1 sack and Chapman Lewis has 2 interceptions.

Arizona Wildcats betting preview

The Arizona Wildcats lost to Kansas State, beat Utah and play BYU next. The Arizona Wildcats have won 5 straight home games. Noah Fifita completed 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,060 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Tetairoa McMillan and Keyan Burnett have combined for 628 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Montana Lemonious-Craig has 9 receptions.

The Arizona Wildcats’ ground game averages 152.5 yards per game, and Quali Conley leads the way with 322 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona is allowing 22.5 points and 355.8 yards per game. Jacob Manu leads the Arizona Wildcats with 35 tackles, Taye Brown has 2 sacks and Genesis Smith has 2 interceptions.

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

  • Arizona has won each of its last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Texas Tech has lost four of its last five road games in October.
  • Arizona has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games in October.
  • As an underdog, Texas Tech failed to make up the difference in four of its last five games in October.
  • Arizona has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • Arizona has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total score facts

  • Each of Texas Tech’s last five road games in October against teams not ranked in the AP rankings were UNDER the total score.
  • Each of Arizona’s last five games as a favorite in October has exceeded the point total.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into the year, Arizona ranks 114th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (73).
  • Heading into the year, Arizona ranks 104th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (5.8).
  • Heading into the year, Texas Tech ranks 132nd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (309.4).
  • Heading into the year, Texas Tech ranks 4th among FBS teams in H1 points per game this season (27.0).

Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction

I’m excited to see how the Arizona Wildcats progress after a big road win against Utah. Possible point of disappointment? The Texas Tech Red Raiders have the offensive talent to keep up with Arizona, but the difference is that the Wildcats are the team that actually does their best on defense. Texas Tech ranks 125th in total defense and 122nd in scoring defense. Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite by 5 or more points. I’m going to take Arizona home by a touchdown.

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