Georgia vs. Auburn football prediction: What the analysis says

The Deep South’s oldest rivalry begins this weekend as No. 5 Georgia looks to rebound from its first loss and faces Auburn on Saturday in Week 6 of college football.

Georgia recovered from a 28-0 road deficit against Alabama last week as quarterback Carson Beck led a furious comeback and even took the lead late, but it wasn’t enough to win.

Auburn led Oklahoma for most of the day last time out, but Payton Thorne threw a pick-six that ultimately cost the team and dropped them to 0-2 so far in SEC play.

Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s take a look at the latest college football predictions from computer prediction model Football Power Index.

The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times, utilizes key analytics from both teams and selects winners based on a projected point spread per game.

As expected, the models strongly favor the Bulldogs bouncing back this week against the Tigers.

Georgia is expected to win the game in the overwhelming 91.2 percent of recent computer simulations.

That leaves Auburn as the expected winner in the remaining 8.8 percent of Sims.

According to the model’s latest projection, Georgia is projected to be 21.1 points better than Auburn with the current makeup of both teams on the same field.

If so, that wouldn’t be enough to cover the spread.

That’s because Georgia is a 24-point favorite against Auburn, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total score for the game at 53.5 points.

And the moneyline odds for the overall win were set at -2500 for Georgia and +1200 for Auburn.

According to the latest consensus spread picks, the majority of bettors expect the Bulldogs to dominate the game.

Around 54 percent of bets assume Georgia will win the game and cover the spread.

And the remaining 46 percent of bets assume Auburn will keep the game within bounds.

Georgia is fourth among SEC teams with a 71.7 percent chance of qualifying for the College Football Playoff and will win 9.2 games this season, according to FPI data.

The Index predicts Georgia will be 25.2 points better than an average neutral-field team.

This model assumes Auburn wins 4.8 games and gives it a 26 percent chance of becoming bowl eligible.

According to the Index, Auburn will be 6.7 points better than an average neutral field team.

The college football rankings Football Power Index (FPI) and computer prediction model is a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games and use a combination of key analytics including recent results, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting and a team’s schedule.

The teams are not ranked by talent as in other rankings, but by a expected points lead per game against an average team on a neutral field.

First place votes in parentheses

1. Alabama (40)
2. Texas (19)
3. Ohio State (4)
4. Tennessee
5. Georgia
6. Oregon
7. Penn State
8. Miami
9. Missouri
10. Michigan
11. USC
12. Ole Miss
13. LSU
14. Notre Dame
15. Clemson
16. Iowa State
17. BYU
18. Utah
19. Oklahoma
20. Kansas State
21. Boise State
22. Louisville
23. Indiana
24. Illinois
25. UNLV and Texas A&M (tie)

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The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and needs help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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