Orioles vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Tips, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – AL Wild Card Game 1

The AL Wild Card Series begins Tuesday when the Baltimore Orioles host the Kansas City Royals. The action begins at 4:08 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards and can be watched on ESPN2. The Orioles are -159 favorites to win, while the underdog Royals have +135 odds on the money line.

Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Baltimore, while Kansas City will counter with Cole Ragans.

Orioles vs Royals odds

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Orioles and Royals betting trends

The Orioles have been the money-line favorite a total of 118 times this season. They posted a 68-50 record in those games.

In games where Baltimore has played as a moneyline favorite at odds of -159 or less, Baltimore has a record of 32-19 (wins in 62.7% of its games).

The Royals have been underdogs 81 times this season and have won 36, or 44.4%, of those games.

Kansas City is 8-15 this season when entering a game as an underdog +135 or more on the money line.

In the 160 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Orioles, they have combined with their opponents to exceed the total 87 times (87-61-12).

In games involving the Royals this season, 69 out of 162 chances have exceeded the overall odds set by the bookmakers.

Orioles stats and insights

The Orioles have the fourth-leading offense in baseball, scoring 4.9 runs per game (786 total runs).

Baltimore is second in MLB with a total of 235 home runs.

The Orioles have the seventh-best batting average in the league (.250).

Baltimore ranks 13th in the MLB with 8.4 strikeouts per game.

The Orioles’ pitching staff ranks 15th in the majors with a total of 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

Baltimore has the 14th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.95).

Statistics and insights about the Royals

The Royals have scored 735 runs (4.5 per game) this season, ranking 13th in the MLB.

Kansas City’s 170 home runs rank 20th in Major League Baseball.

The Royals have a team batting average of .248 this season, ranking eighth among MLB teams.

Kansas City has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season, posting the second-best strikeout rate (7.2 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Royals’ pitching staff is striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings, which is 18th in the MLB.

Kansas City has the eighth-best ERA (3.76) in the majors this season.

Orioles key players to watch

Burnes is in the starting lineup for the Orioles, his 33rd of the season. He is 15-9 with a 2.92 ERA and 181 strikeouts in 194 1/3 innings.

Gunnar Henderson leads Baltimore with a .281 batting average. He also hit 37 home runs with 92 RBI.

Anthony Santander is batting .235 with a team-high 44 home runs and 102 RBI this season.

Adleyrutschman has 143 hits and a slash line of .250/.318/.391 this season.

Ryan O’Hearn has collected 117 hits this season and has an OBP of .334. He is batting .427 on the year.

The Royals’ key players to keep an eye on

The Royals will hand the ball to Ragans (11-9) for his 33rd start of the season.

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (32), runs batted in (109) and has the team’s best batting average of .332.

Salvador Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.

Maikel Garcia hit .231 with 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks.

Hunter Renfroe has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks while batting .229.

Orioles and Royals injuries

Orioles: Burch Smith: 15 days IL (groin), Grayson Rodriguez: 15 days IL (lat), Jorge Mateo: 60 days IL (elbow), Tyler Wells: 60 days IL (elbow), John Means: 60 days IL (elbow ). ), Kyle Bradish: 60 days IL (UCL sprain), Felix Bautista: 60 days IL (elbow)

Royals: Vinnie Pasquantino: 10 days IL (thumb), Hunter Harvey: 15 days IL (back), Will Smith: 15 days IL (back), Chris Stratton: 15 days IL (forearm), James McArthur: 15 days IL (elbow ). ), Josh Taylor: 60 days IL (biceps), Kyle Wright: 60 days IL (shoulder)

Orioles vs Royals prediction

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