Ten players who will outperform/underperform projections in Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season

PROJECTED POINTS: 18.4

Frosted: Burrow ended up having a great game with 25.4 fantasy points Monday Night Football! Now it’s a car starter again, right?! Well…no. This was the first time since November 2023 that Burrow exceeded his forecast. Namely against the QB-friendly Commanders, who hand out 20 burgers at a barbecue like a suburban father.

While Washington has allowed the most fantasy points at the position since 2023, the Panthers have allowed the fifth-fewest at just 13.6 per game. This is mainly because they allowed the fewest pass attempts per game while always playing from the back. This could be a big deal Zack Moss game, but Burrow will once again underperform – he’s a fringe QB1 but will fall just short of that projection.