Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Tips, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Washington Nationals (71-90) look to complete their series and take a 2-0 lead into the finale against the Philadelphia Phillies (94-67) on Sunday at 3:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. The Phillies are favored by sportsbooks (-178) to avoid the sweep and pick up their first win of the series.

Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola will compete against Washington’s Jake Irvin.

Phillies vs. Nationals odds

Phillies odds: -178

Odds of winning the National Championships: +150

Spread: Phillies -1.5

In total: 7.5 runs

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Game time and information

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Time: 3:05 p.m. ET

TV: MASN

Who will win Phillies vs. Nationals?

Betting trends for Phillies and Nationals

The Phillies have gone 81-49 in games where they were listed as moneyline favorites (winning 62.3% of those games).

Philadelphia has a record of 37-15 when playing as a moneyline favorite at -178 or less (71.2% win rate).

This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 133 times and won 56, or 42.1%, of those games.

Washington is 19-28 this season when entering a game as an underdog +150 or more on the money line.

The Phillies have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 161 times and have teamed with opponents to go over the total in 77 of those games (77-75-9).

The Nationals and their opponents have exceeded the total on 76 of their 161 opportunities this season.

Phillies Stats and Insights

The Phillies score the fifth-most runs in baseball (778 total, 4.8 per game).

Philadelphia averages 1.2 home runs per game and ranks seventh in MLB play with 198 total home runs.

The Phillies have the fifth-best batting average in the majors (.257).

Philadelphia ranks 16th in the majors with 8.5 strikeouts per game.

The Phillies’ pitching staff ranks eighth in the MLB with a total of 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has a team ERA of 3.86, ranking 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Statistics and insights about the national teams

The Nationals have scored the 25th most runs in the league this season with 657 (4.1 per game).

Washington has hit just 134 home runs this season, ranking 29th in the majors.

The Nationals have a .243 batting average this season, ranking 15th among MLB teams.

Washington has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season, posting the fifth-best strikeout rate (7.5 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Nationals are averaging the 23rd most strikeouts per nine innings (8.3) in the majors this season.

Washington has the 22nd ERA (4.30) in the majors this season.

Phillies key players to keep an eye on

Nola is in the starting lineup for the Phillies, making his 33rd start of the season. He is 13-8 with a 3.52 ERA and 190 strikeouts in 194 1/3 innings.

Bryce Harper is batting .285 with 30 home runs and 87 RBI for Philadelphia this season.

Kyle Schwarber is batting .248 with a team-high 38 home runs and 102 RBI this season.

Alec Bohm has collected 154 base hits, an OBP of .332 and a slugging percentage of .449 this season.

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with an OBP of .310 and a slugging percentage of .431 this season.

The Nationals’ key players to watch

The Nationals’ Irvin (10-13) will make his 33rd start this season.

Luis Garcia posted a team-best .281 batting average and led the Nationals in home runs (17) and runs batted in (68).

Keibert Ruiz has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks while batting .229.

Jacob Young has 24 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 29 walks while batting .256.

James Wood hit .269 with 13 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.

Injuries to the Phillies and Nationals

Phillies: Rodolfo Castro: 60 days IL (thumb), Spencer Turnbull: 60 days IL (back), Luis Ortiz: 60 days IL (ankle)

National Players: Alex Call: 10 days IL (leg), Mason Thompson: 60 days IL (elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 days IL (elbow), Joan Adon: 60 days IL (biceps), Josiah Gray: 60 days IL (elbow ). )