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USC vs. Maryland Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Tips – October 19, 2024

By Hudson Brooklyn
USC vs. Maryland Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Tips – October 19, 2024

The USC Trojans (3-3) will face another Big Ten opponent, the Maryland Terrapins (3-3), in a match on Saturday, October 19, 2024 at SECU Stadium. The Terrapins will look to pull off an upset as 7-point underdogs. The over/under in this game is 57 points.

USC vs. Maryland Favorite, Moneyline, Overall

  • Distribution favorite: Trojans (-7)
  • Money line: Trojans (-258), Terrapins (+210)
  • In total: 57 points

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    How to watch USC vs. Maryland

  • When: Saturday, October 19, 2024, 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: SECU Stadium in College Park, Maryland
  • TV: Fox Sports 1
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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    • USC 2024 stats and rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 280.7 (1684) 26
    Rush yards 156.2 (937) 72
    Points scored 30.7 (184) 53
    Pass yards against it 198 (1188) 45
    Rush yards against 151.8 (911) 79
    Points allowed 20.8 (125) 41

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    USC 2024 betting information

  • The Trojans have posted an ATS record of 4-2-0 so far this year.
  • USC is 2-1 against margins when the margin is 7 or more points this season.
  • In the Trojans’ six games this season, the point total has exceeded the point total three times.
  • The average over/under the Trojans have posted in this year’s games is 3.2 points less than this game’s point total.
  • The Trojans have closed the gap twice in their last three meetings, posting a 1-2 record in those games.
  • The combined final score of Maryland’s last three games exceeded the allotted point total each time.
  • The last three Terrapins games averaged 48.0 total points, 9.0 points less than this matchup’s point total.

    • USC Home/Away Split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 53.8 58.3 44.8
    Implied overall average 32.7 36.0 26.0
    ATS data set 4-2-0 4-0-0 0-2-0
    Over/under record 3-3-0 2-2-0 1-1-0
    Moneyline favorite record 2-2 2:0 0-2
    Moneyline underdog record 1-1 1-1 0-0

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    USC’s offense vs. Maryland’s defense (2024)

  • USC ranks 26th in the FBS with an average of 280.7 yards per game, while Maryland allows 109th in college football with an average of 258.3.
  • The Trojans’ 156.2 rushing yards per game are good for 72nd in the FBS. The Terrapins defense gives up 107.8 on the ground (28th in college football).
  • USC’s offense ranks 40th in the FBS in yards per game (436.8), while Maryland ranks 72nd in yards allowed (366.2).

    • Maryland 2024 stats and rankings

    Stat Average (Total) rank
    Yards pass 303.3 (1820) 13
    Rush yards 132 (792) 93
    Points scored 29.5 (177) 65
    Pass yards against it 258.3 (1550) 109
    Rush yards against 107.8 (647) 28
    Points allowed 24.3 (146) 73

    Maryland 2024 betting information

  • The Terrapins have recorded two wins against the spread this season.
  • USC is 2-1 against margins when the margin is 7 or more points this season.
  • The Terrapins have seen points go over the total in five of their six games.
  • The Trojans’ average score in games this year is 53.8, 3.2 points less than the total in this game.
  • The Trojans have a 2-1 record in their last three games and a consecutive 1-2 record in those contests.
  • Maryland and its opponents have tied for the overall standings in all three of those games.
  • The last three Terrapins games have averaged 9.0 fewer points (48.0) than the over/under of this matchup.

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    Maryland home/away split (2024)

    In total Home Away
    Overall point average 49.8 50.4 48.8
    Implied overall average 31.7 33.6 28.6
    ATS data set 7-6-0 4-4-0 3-2-0
    Over/under record 7-6-0 5-3-0 2-3-0
    Moneyline favorite record 6-2 3-1 3-1
    Moneyline underdog record 1-3 1-2 0-1

    Maryland’s offense vs. USC defense (2024)

  • Maryland averages 303.3 passing yards per game (13th in the FBS), compared to the 198 yards per game allowed by USC (45th in college football).
  • The Terrapins’ red zone percentage is 87.5% (47th in the FBS), while the Trojans allow a score on 84.2% of their opponents’ red zone appearances (76th in college football).
  • Maryland has a 46.7% third-down conversion rate, ranking 28th in the FBS. USC is allowing third-down conversions on 27.1% of its opponents’ attempts (sixth).

    • USC vs Maryland Prediction and Picks

    Our USC vs. Maryland prediction has the Trojans (-258 on the money line) as the winner. Overall, we prefer the Under with 57 points.

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