Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech football prediction: What the analysis says

Riding a four-game winning streak, No. 12 Notre Dame enters Week 8 of college football against Georgia Tech on Saturday looking to stay in the playoff race. Let’s take a look at the latest prediction for the game from an expert football model that will determine the winners.

Notre Dame has bounced back well from the loss to Northern Illinois, winning four straight games and playing with the eighth-highest scoring defense in the country, even though the team just lost star cornerback Benjamin Morrison for the season with a hip injury.

Georgia Tech is on a two-game winning streak after losing two of its last three and is 5-2 overall behind a rushing attack that ranks 25th in the FBS with an average of over 204 yards per game.

Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s take a look at the latest college football predictions from computer prediction model Football Power Index.

The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times, utilizes key analytics from both teams and selects winners based on a projected point spread per game.

So far, the prediction models are heavily on the Fighting Irish side in this away game.

Notre Dame is projected to win the game outright in most 83.5 percent of the computer’s recent simulations for the match.

That leaves Georgia Tech as the expected winner in the remaining 16.5 percent of Sims.

Overall, Notre Dame led the index in 16,700 simulations of the game, while Georgia Tech came out on top in the other 3,300 predictions.

The Index predicts a double-digit victory for the Irish over the Yellow Jackets on the scoreboard.

According to the model’s latest projection, Notre Dame, with both teams’ current makeup, is expected to be 14.6 points better than Georgia Tech on the same field.

If so, that would be enough for the Irish to cover the spread.

That’s because Notre Dame is the 11-point favorite against Georgia Tech, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total score for the game at 49.5 points.

And it set the moneyline odds for the overall win for Notre Dame at -425 and for Georgia Tech at +340.

A number of bettors are expecting the Yellow Jackets to play this game against the Irish, according to the latest spread consensus picks.

Georgia Tech receives 56 percent of bets on either winning in an upset or keeping the game within reason.

Notre Dame receives the other 44 percent of the bets to win the game and cover the spread.

Notre Dame has a 57.5 percent chance of qualifying for the College Football Playoff and will win 10 games this season, according to FPI data.

This model gives Georgia Tech an overall win projection of 6.8 games and a 0.7 percent chance of making the 12-team playoffs.

The college football rankings Football Power Index (FPI) and computer prediction model is a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games and use a combination of key analytics including past results, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting and a team’s schedule.

The teams are not ranked by talent as in other rankings, but by a expected points lead per game against an average team on a neutral field.

First place votes in parentheses

1. Texas (56)
2. Oregon (6)
3. Penn State
4. Ohio State
5. Georgia
6. Miami
7. Alabama
8. LSU
9. Iowa State
10. Clemson
11. Tennessee
12. Notre Dame
13. BYU
14. Texas A&M
15. Boise State
16. Indiana
17. Kansas State
18. Ole Miss
19. Missouri
20. Pittsburgh
21. SMU
22. Illinois
23. army
24. Michigan
25. marine

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The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and needs help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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