Guardians vs. Yankees ALCS Game 1 Prediction: Odds, expert picks, pitching matchup, betting trends and stats

The two top seeds in the American League will meet in the AL Pennant at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx on Monday evening.

The top-seeded Yankees dispatched the Kansas City Royals in 4 games. New York pitchers gave up 12 runs in the 4-game series and Giancarlo Stanton led the offense going 6-16 (.375) with 1 HR, 2 2Bs and 4 RBIs. He even stole a base. The Guardians survived 5 games against the Tigers. The main difference was the pitching, as the Cleveland Hurlers only gave up 13 runs in the five games. Lane Thomas drove in 9 of the 19 runs the Guardians scored in the series.

Carlos Rodon takes the mound for the Yankees in Game 1. Alex Cobb gets the ball for the Guardians.

Let’s dig a little deeper into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know before the game, including the latest on how to catch the first pitch, the scheduled pitching matchup, current team performance, player stats and of course our predictions, tips & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Guardians @ Yankees – Game 1

● Date: Monday, October 14, 2024
● Time: 7:38 p.m. ET
● Website: Yankee Stadium
● City: New York, NY
● TV/Streaming: TBS

Don’t miss a second of the action and stay up to date with the latest team stats and player news. Check out our daily routine MLB schedule pagealong with detailed matchup pages that are updated live in-game with every out.

ALCS Game 1 odds for Guardians @ Yankees

The latest odds from Sunday evening:

● Money line: Cleveland Guardians (+135), New York Yankees (-160)
● Spread: Guards +1.5 (-165), Yankees -1.5 (+140)
● In total: 7.5

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Likely starting players for Cleveland @ New York

● Thursday’s pitching matchup (October 14): Alex Cobb vs. Carlos Rodon

○ Guardian: Cobb – was shelled in his only start in the Division Series against Detroit, giving up 3 hits and 2 earned runs in just 3 innings

○ Yankees: Rodon – tell me if you’ve heard this before – came under fire in his only start in the Division Series against Kansas City, giving up 7 hits and 4 earned runs in just 3.2 innings.

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Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of ALCS Game 1 Guardians @ Yankees

• New York and Cleveland met in the playoffs six times: 1997, 1998, 2007, 2017, 2020 and 2022. The Yankees won 4 of the 6 series, including the most recent series – the 2022 ALDS, 3 games to 2. Overall the Yankees are in the Playoffs 15-12 vs. Cleveland.
• The Yankees hit an MLB-best 237 home runs in the regular season.
• Aaron Judge had a 2-13 (.154) record in the Division Series against Kansas City, with no extra base hits and 5 strikeouts.
• Jose Ramierez was 3-16 (188) with 1 HR, 1 2B and 3 strikeouts in the Division Series against Cleveland.
• Steven Kwan scored at least one goal in each of the 5 Division Series games against Detroit. He hit .534 (11-21) and scored 6 runs.
• Lane Thomas drove in 9 of the 19 runs Cleveland scored in the Division Series against the Tigers.

Playoff stories for Cleveland and New York

• Guardian: Cleveland has an all-time record of 63-60. They appeared in the World Series six times – 1920, 1948, 1954, 1995, 1997 and 2016 – and lost six times.
• Yankees: The Yankees want to reach their 41st place^st AL pennant. New York has won 27 world championships. Their last World Series win was in 2009. They have been to the playoffs 57 times.

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today’s schedule, check out our MLB Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Expert tips and predictions for Game 1 of the ALCS between Cleveland and New York

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Our model calculates predictions for every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we place its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to determine a relative confidence level for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for Monday’s first game between the Guardians and Yankees:

· Money line: NBC Sports recommends a game against the Yankees on the moneyline

· Spread: NBC Sports recommends a game against the Yankees on the run line

· Total number of runs: NBC Sports is leaning towards a game with an OVER of 7.5 total runs

Want even more best MLB bets and predictions from our team of experts and tools? Check this out Expert MLB Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

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