Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Tips, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Cleveland Guardians visit the Detroit Tigers in Game 3 of the ALDS on Wednesday at 3:08 p.m. ET, live on TBS from Comerica Park. The teams split the first two games of the series and would come close to winning the ALCS with a win in this matchup. The Guardians are -109 favorites to win, while the underdog Tigers have -108 odds on the money line.

Detroit has not named a starter for this contest, while Cleveland is expected to put Alex Cobb on the mound.

Guardians vs Tigers odds

Guardians Odds of Winning: -109

Tigers odds: -108

Spread: Guardian -1.5

In total: 7 runs

Guardians vs. Tigers Promo Codes

Game time and information

Date: Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Time: 3:08 p.m. ET

TV: TBS

Who will win Guardians vs Tigers?

Guardians and Tigers betting trends

The Guardians have a 65-36 record in games in which they were listed as moneyline favorites (they won 64.4% of those games).

As a moneyline favorite at -109 or less, Cleveland has a record of 65-37 (63.7%).

This season, the Tigers have been underdogs 99 times and have won 48 or 48.5% of those games.

Detroit has a 46-50 record, a winning percentage of 47.9%, despite being considered a -108 or better underdog by oddsmakers this season.

The Guardians played 163 games with over/under sets and combined with their opponents to achieve a total of 68 over/under sets (68-83-12).

So far this season, the Tigers and their opponents have reached the over in 78 of their 165 games combined.

Guardians stats and insights

The Guardians have the No. 14 offense in MLB play, scoring 4.4 runs per game (708 total runs).

Cleveland ranks 12th in MLB with 185 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

With a .238 batting average, the Guardians rank 21st in the MLB.

Cleveland’s batters strike out 7.4 times per game, the fourth-fewest strikeouts in baseball.

The Guardians pitching staff ranks ninth in the majors with a total of 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cleveland has a team ERA of 3.61, third among all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers stats and insights

The Tigers have scored 682 runs (4.2 per game) this season, ranking 19th in the MLB.

Detroit ranks 24th in Major League Baseball with 162 home runs.

The Tigers rank 23rd in the league with a .234 batting average this season.

Detroit ranks 23rd with an average of nine strikeouts per game.

The Tigers are averaging the 21st most strikeouts per nine innings (8.4) in the majors this season.

Detroit has posted a 3.62 ERA this season, ranking fourth in baseball.

The Guardians’ key players to keep an eye on

Cobb (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his fourth start of the season. He posted a 2.76 ERA in 16 1/3 innings with 10 strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in home runs with 39 and runs batted in with 118.

Josh Naylor has 137 hits and an OBP of .320 this season, which translates to a slugging percentage of .456.

Steven Kwan leads Cleveland with a .292 batting average while hitting 14 home runs and driving in 44 runs.

Andres Gimenez has collected 147 hits this season and has an OBP of .298. He is batting .340 on the year.

Tigers key players to watch

Riley Greene has a team-best .262 batting average and leads the Tigers in home runs (24) and runs batted in (74).

Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.

Colt Keith batted .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.

Kerry Carpenter has 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks while batting .284.

Injuries from guards and tigers

Supervisor: James Karinchak: 60 days IL (shoulder), Sam Hentges: 60 days IL (shoulder), Shane Bieber: 60 days IL (elbow), Trevor Stephan: 60 days IL (elbow)

Tigers: Javier Báez: 60 days IL (hip), Brendan White: 60 days IL (elbow), Alex Faedo: 60 days IL (shoulder), Sawyer Gipson-Long: 60 days IL (groin)