Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 4 Prediction: Odds, expert picks, pitching matchup, betting trends and stats

Sean Manaea was brilliant on Tuesday night, allowing just 3 hits and 1 run over 7 innings, and the Mets scored 7 runs on 9 hits, beating the Phillies 7-2 and taking a 2-1 game lead in this best of 5 National League Division Series.

The victory was Manaea’s 1st^st in his postseason career. He struggled before going 0-3 with a whopping 10.66 ERA. The offense came from all corners of the lineup, led by bombs from Pete Alonso (his 3rd).^approx in four games) and Jesse Winker (his 1st^st this offseason).

With a win on Wednesday at Citi Field, the Mets can win the series and advance to the National League Championship Series. Jose Quintana takes the mound for the Mets while Ranger Suarez takes the ball for Philadelphia.

Let’s dive into the matchup.

We have all the information and analysis you need to know before the game, including the latest on how to catch the first pitch, the scheduled pitching matchup, current team performance, player stats and of course our predictions, tips & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Game details and how to watch Phillies @ Mets – Game 4

● Date: Wednesday, October 9, 2024
● Time: 5:08 p.m. ET
● Location: Citi Field
● City: Flushing, NY
● TV/Streaming: FS1

Don’t miss a second of the action and stay up to date with the latest team stats and player news. Check out our daily routine MLB schedule pagealong with detailed matchup pages that are updated live in-game with every out.

Phillies @ Mets odds

The latest odds from Tuesday evening:

● Money line: New York Mets (-105), Philadelphia Phillies (-115)
● Spread: Mets +1.5 (-185), Phillies -1.5 (+150)
● In total: 7.5

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Likely starting players for Philadelphia @ New York

● Wednesday’s pitching matchup (October 9): Ranger Suarez vs. Jose Quintana

○ Mets: Quintana has made 5 postseason starts without recording a decision, including 6 innings of 4-hit shutout ball in Game 3 of the Wild Card round against Milwaukee.

○ Phillies: Suarez has been outstanding in recent postseasons. In 9 appearances, including 7 starts (33.1 innings), the Phillies All-Star is 3-1 with a 1.62 ERA.

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Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Phillies @ Mets

• 7 of the Phillies’ last 9 games with the Mets have exceeded the total.
• The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 home games against division opponents.
• JT Realmuto is still looking for his 1st^st Hit this series (0-9).
• Alec Bohm is hitting .100 (1-10) in this series.
• Pete Alonso only scored 4 goals in the postseason, but 3 of the 4 sailed over the fence.
  

  Playoff history for Philadelphia @ New York

· Mets: Own a 56-42 all-time playoff record. They have reached the World Series five times in their franchise history, winning in 1969 and 1986.

· Phillies: Philadelphia has now made the playoffs 17 times, with an overall postseason record of 69-67. They have won the National League pennant eight times. They won the World Series against the Kansas City Royals in 1980 and the Tampa Bay Rays in 2008.

In the last 10 years, the Phillies have made the playoffs three times and won five series in those three trips to the postseason.

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today’s schedule, check out our MLB Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks and predictions for Wednesday’s NLDS Game 4 at Citi Field between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets

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Our model calculates predictions for every moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points such as past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we place its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to determine a relative confidence level for each bet.

Here are the best bets our model predicts for Wednesday’s Philadelphia @ New York Game 4:

· Money line: NBC Sports is leaning toward a game against the Phillies on the moneyline

· Spread: NBC Sports is leaning toward a game against the Phillies on the run line

· Total number of runs: NBC Sports recommends a game with an OVER of 7.5 total runs

Want even more best MLB bets and predictions from our team of experts and tools? Check this out Expert MLB Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today’s calendar!

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