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Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 6th

Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Tips – October 6th

Data script

The Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NLDS on Sunday at 4:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies will look to bounce back after falling behind in the series in Game 1. Oddsmakers have the Phillies as -156 moneyline favorites while giving the underdog Mets a moneyline odds of +131. Philadelphia is the run line favorite (-1.5). This matchup is set at a 7.5 run over/under.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Phillies-Mets game from a betting perspective, including run line, moneyline and total, as well as expert tips.

Mets defeat Phillies in Game 1: Derek Jeter, David Ortiz and Alex Rodriguez react | MLB on FOX

Derek Jeter, David Ortiz and Alex Rodriguez react to the New York Mets’ 6-2 win over the Philadelphia Philles in Game 1 of the NLDS.

Phillies vs. Mets game information and odds

  • When: Sunday, October 6, 2024, 4:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline In total Above-overall odds Below overall odds running line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -156 +131 7.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +135 -161

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

  • Result prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
  • Overall prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Probabilities of winning: Phillies 53%, Mets 47%

Phillies vs. Mets betting insights

  • The Phillies have won 80, or 61.5%, of the 130 games they have played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia has a 56-23 record in games where oddsmakers have a moneyline advantage of at least -156.
  • Based on the money line implied probability, the Phillies have a 60.9% chance of winning this game.
  • The Mets were victorious in 31, or 46.3%, of 67 contests and were picked as underdogs this season.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 8-7 this year when favored by sportsbooks at +131 or worse.
  • The Mets have an implied win probability of 43.3% based on the moneyline set for this matchup.

New York Mets

NYM

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Current Phillies betting performance

  • The Phillies have a 4-5 record in nine games and have been the moneyline favorite in the last ten meetings.
  • In their last 10 meetings, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to exceed the run total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies’ ATS record is 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.

Current Phillies stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 4-6
Runs per game 4.7
Human Resources 14
EPOCH 5.23
K/9 10.4

Insights into Phillies players

  • Bryce Harper is reaching base at a .373 clip while batting .525, both marks that put the Phillies ahead. The team also has a record-high 157 base knocks.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Harper ranks 20th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
  • Harper has scored in two straight games. In his last five appearances, he batted .333 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s 38 home runs and 104 runs batted in are both team highs.
  • Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Schwarber has a streak of two games with at least one goal in this competition. In his last five games, he posted a .211 batting average with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
  • Alec Bohm hit .280 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 30 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.

Phillies team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+185)
Alec Boehm 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+165)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+135)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+150)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+135)

Find out more about this Phillies-Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Current Mets betting performance

  • The Mets played as underdogs in seven of their last 10 games, winning four of those contests.
  • In the last 10 games, the Mets and their opponents have reached the over mark a total of five times.
  • In their last 10 games, the Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Current Mets stats

Stat Average/Total
Record 5-5
Runs per game 3.9
Human Resources 6
EPOCH 4.13
K/9 9.8

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor posted the team’s best batting average of .273 and leads the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
  • Among all batters in the major leagues, Lindor ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso’s 34 home runs propel his team forward.
  • Alonso is currently 12th in home runs and 29th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while batting .224.
  • Jesse Winker is batting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets team props

Hit O/U Total base O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+145)
Jose Iglesias 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+215)
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+170)
Francisco Alvarez 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+220)
JD Martinez 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (+185)

Brandon Nimmo on the Mets’ 6-2 win over the Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS | MLB on FOX

Brandon Nimmo on the Mets' 6-2 win over the Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS | MLB on FOX

Tom Verducci caught up with Brandon Nimmo after his 2-RBI night in the New York Mets’ 6-2 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of the NLDS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets



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