Missouri vs. Texas A&M Prediction: Marcel Reed Magic?

• CFN FPM spread
  Missouri -5
• Spread
  Texas A&M -2.5
• Money line
  Texas A&M -135, Missouri +114
• Over/Under
  48.5 points
• Playtime
  October 5, 12pm ET
• Location
  Kyle Field | College Station, TX
• Predicted weather at Kick
  83 degrees, sunny, 11 mph wind
• Here’s how to watch
  ABC

Surprisingly, Texas A&M began the week as a two-point favorite over the higher-ranked Tigers, and as the week progressed the line moved even further away from Eli Drinkwitz’s Missouri team. Obviously someone, somewhere Really values ​​Texas A&M with home-field advantage because the CFN-FPM spread makes Missouri a five-point favorite.

MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator

If the odds between Missouri and Texas A&M remain in the Aggies’ favor, it would be the first time the Tigers enter a game as underdogs this year. They currently sit at 2-2 after narrow wins against Boston College and Vanderbilt, although a win by at least two points is expected. Texas A&M has played just once in five games, and that was against a weak Florida team.

Missouri’s probability of winning

The Football Playoff Meter is a little friendlier to the Tigers than the Vegas line, making the Tigers five-point favorites. This corresponds to a probability of winning of 64.6%. This represents the Tigers’ second-lowest win probability with one game remaining. The Tigers’ win probabilities for the remainder of the season are listed below.

• at Texas A&M: 64.7%
• at UMass: 96.8%
• against Auburn: 91.7%
• in Alabama: 25.1%
• against Oklahoma: 79.9%
• in South Carolina: 74.6%
• in the state of Mississippi: 91.7%
• against Arkansas: 88.1%

Texas A&M win probability

Conversely, Texas A&M has a 35.4% chance of winning on Saturday, meaning a win would have a significant impact on the expected win total for the season. The Aggies’ win probabilities for the remainder of the season are listed below.

• against Missouri: 35.4%
• in the state of Mississippi: 77.4%
• at LSU: 35.9%
• in South Carolina: 50.4%
• vs. New Mexico State: 94.7%
• at Auburn: 61.9%
• against Texas: 20.4%

Missouri vs. Texas A&M prediction

Before this line came out, I thought it was a potential upset point for the Aggies, and the Vegas line obviously suggests that.

Missouri just hasn’t looked good against an easy schedule this year, and the Tigers are also going on the road for the first time in 2024. Texas A&M has a huge home field advantage, but the team on the field can perform at a high enough level to knock out the Tigers?

The status of Texas A&M quarterback Conner Weigman is unknown, but even if he were healthy, I think the Aggies would still opt to pursue Marcel Reed. Reed’s legs have provided the balance this year and the redshirt freshman also handles the football.

FREE: Sign up for the College Football Network newsletter to get unique stories from the world of college football delivered straight to your inbox!

On the other hand, Missouri runs the football very well, but hasn’t quite accomplished what you’d expect from a truly talented receiving corps.

Typically, Las Vegas picks its spots to make unranked conference opponents favorites over top-10 teams, and I tend to agree. The Aggies’ running game, coupled with another dual-threat quarterback, should cause enough problems for the Tigers. Give me the Aggies in a really entertaining game. In the end, there will be a back and forth switch, which can result in the score being higher and higher than the total score.

Forecast: Texas A&M 28, Missouri 24

The College Football Network brings you the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SECand every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent Program.