Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Tips – Oct 3

Data script

The Atlanta Falcons (2:2) are small favorites (-1.5) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3:1) in a battle between two division rivals. An over/under of 43.5 points was set for the matchup.

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Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction and Picks

• Choose ATS: Buccaneers (+1.5)
  
• Select organizational unit: Below (43.5)
  
• Forecast:
  Falcons 22 – Buccaneers 21
  

How to watch Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

• Play date: Thursday, October 3, 2024
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Amazon Prime Video
• Live boxscore: FOX Sports

Final meetings between Falcons and Buccaneers

• In the last five meetings, Tampa Bay has won three times against Atlanta.
• In the last five direct duels, Tampa Bay has scored 110 points against Atlanta and only given up 103 points.

Atlanta betting information

• Atlanta has one win in four games against the team this year.
• The Falcons have failed to cover margins by 1.5 points or more this season (on two occasions).
• At this year’s games in Atlanta, the total was exceeded on one out of four occasions (25%).
• The Falcons have been and shared the money line favorites in two other games this season.
• The implied probability for this matchup taking the money line into account gives the Falcons a 55.6% chance of winning.

Falcons stats

Atlanta’s key player

attack

• Kirk Cousins ​​has 864 passing yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 64.7% of his attempts, averaging 216.0 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• Bijan Robinson has accumulated 224 rushing yards with one touchdown (56.0 yards per game in four games). His 4.1 yards per attempt ranks 28th in the NFL.
• Robinson’s 16 targets as part of the passing attack resulted in 15 catches (3.8 per game) for 135 yards (33.8 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• In four games played, Drake London averaged 50.0 yards and 5.0 receptions per game for a total of 200 receiving yards and 20 catches. He was targeted 31 times and received two touchdowns.
• Darnell Mooney has 225 receiving yards and one touchdown with 15 catches on 24 targets. He averages 3.8 receptions and 56.3 yards per game.

defense

• On the defensive side, Troy Andersen has 41 tackles, 1.0 TFL and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Falcons and is eighth in the NFL.
• Jessie Bates III has 1.0 TFL, 29 tackles and one interception.
• Kaden Elliss has totaled 33 tackles this year.
• So far this season, Dee Alford has 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL and one sack.

Tampa Bay betting information

• Tampa Bay has a record of 3-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Buccaneers were underdogs by 1.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
• The over has been reached twice in Tampa Bay games this season.
• The Buccaneers have won both games they played as underdogs this season.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of the Buccaneers winning.

Buccaneers stats

Tampa Bay’s key players

attack

• Baker Mayfield is averaging 7.6 passing yards per attempt (10th in the NFL) and 246.0 yards per game this year, completing 70.5% of his passes en route to a total of 984 yards (sixth in the NFL). and eight touchdowns (second in the NFL). ) and two interceptions in four games.
• He added 65 yards on the ground (third on the Buccaneers) while also scoring two rushing touchdowns. He averages 16.3 yards per game and 5.4 yards per attempt.
• Chris Godwin has 27 catches (third in the NFL) for 322 yards (seventh in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He was targeted 34 times and averaged 6.8 balls per game in four games played.
• In four games this season, Mike Evans had 18 catches (4.5 receptions per game on 7.2 targets per game) for 214 yards and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL).
• Bucky Irving scored a touchdown on the ground and rushed for 203 total yards (5.8 per attempt and 50.8 per game).

defense

• Lavonte David has posted 2.0 sacks (first for the Buccaneers), which translates to 2.0 TFL and 29 tackles in four games in 2024.
• Jamel Dean has 33 tackles and three passes defensed.
• Jordan Whitehead has 31 tackles and 1.0 TFL in the 2024 season. He is second on the Buccaneers in tackles.
• Christian Izien intercepted one pass and also had 23 tackles and three passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Atlanta Falcons

Tampa Bay Buccaneers