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Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 10-3-24 NFL Picks

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 10-3-24 NFL Picks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (2-2)
October 3, 2024, 8:15 p.m. EDT
The line: Atlanta Falcons -1.5; Over/Under: 43.5
(Get the latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons meet on Thursday in Week 5 of the NFL at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here is a prediction for Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This article contains a selection between the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers betting preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Eagles, lost to the Broncos and play the Saints next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won four straight road games during the regular season. Baker Mayfield completed 70.5 percent of his passes for 984 yards, 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have combined for 536 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Rachaad White has 14 receptions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ ground game requires an average of 96 yards per game, with Bucky Irving leading the way with 203 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 19.5 points and 335.3 yards per game. Jamel Dean leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 33 tackles, Lavonte David has 2 sacks and Zyon McCollum has 1 interception.

Atlanta Falcons betting preview

The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Chiefs, beat the Saints and play the Panthers next. The Atlanta Falcons have lost two of their first three home games. Kirk Cousins ​​completed 64.7 percent of his passes for 864 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Darnell Mooney and Drake London have combined for 425 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Ray-Ray McCloud III has 15 receptions.

The Atlanta Falcons ground game averages 102.8 yards per game, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 224 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 21.3 points and 336.5 yards per game. Troy Andersen leads the Atlanta Falcons with 44 tackles, Matthew Judon has 1.5 sacks and Jessie Bates III has 1 interception.

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

  • The Buccaneers have won each of their last four games as underdogs on the East Coast.
  • The Falcons have lost five of their last six October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in their last seven games in October as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have won the first half in each of their last four games as slight underdogs (

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Pitts has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last three home games in October against NFC opponents.
  • Kirk Cousins ​​​​has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight appearances entering Thursday.
  • Kirk Cousins ​​​​has recorded more than 232 passing yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as home favorites against NFC opponents.
  • Darnell Mooney has recorded more than 43 rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 home appearances against division opponents.
  • Darnell Mooney has recorded more than 43 receiving yards in each of his last 10 home appearances against division opponents.
  • Tyler Allgeier has recorded more than 39 rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last 12 home games against NFC opponents.
  • Kirk Cousins ​​​​has recorded 23-plus completions in each of his last seven October home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Troy Andersen has recorded the most tackles in a single game this season (17 vs. Saints, Week 4).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

  • Rachaad White has scored a touchdown in four of the Buccaneers’ last five games as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in the Buccaneers’ last six games as a slight underdog (
  • Rachaad White has amassed more than 39 rushing yards in the Buccaneers’ last six games as a slight underdog (
  • Chris Godwin has recorded 69-plus yards receiving as an outside hitter in each of the Buccaneers’ last four regular-season games.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded more than 283 passing yards in five of the Buccaneers’ last six games as an outside hitter.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 66-plus rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last six games against NFC South opponents.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded more than 24 completions in four of the Buccaneers’ last five games.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded the most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (4 vs. Commanders, Week 1).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks this season (4.0).
  • The Falcons rank 31st in the NFL in forced fumbles (0) this season.
  • The Buccaneers rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
  • The Buccaneers rank 2nd in the NFL in forced fumbles (5) this season.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

In short weeks, the home team usually comes out on top, but there isn’t much travel between Tampa and Atlanta. The Atlanta Falcons have been competitive in every game, and a win over the Eagles and a narrow loss to the Chiefs earn them brownie points. The problem is that the Falcons are still stuck in the mud offensively, unable to run the ball and finish drives.

The Buccaneers have brought Vita Vea back on the defensive line, which should improve the run defense, and the offense has above-average potential. Mayfield has played like an MVP candidate in the first month and the Bucs have a top-10 passing attack. The Falcons are tough, but the Buccaneers have even more potential. The Buccaneers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Falcons are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. I’m taking the street dog in a game the Buccaneers could win outright.

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